Friday's Miscellany 05-18-2018

38 North

·         Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site: Possible Stand to Observe Explosive Tunnel Closure Identified

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         Beyond Tradition and Modernity: Dilemmas of Transformation in Saudi Arabia

·         Trump’s Withdrawal from the Iran Nuclear Deal: Security or Economics?

American Enterprise Institute

·         Defense Budget Peaks in 2019, Underfunding the National Defense Strategy

American Security Project 

·         NAFTA: Building North American Energy Security

·         Nuclear Negotiations with North Korea: Why Negotiators Should Consider North Korean Narratives

·         The Russian National Guard: An Asset for Putin at Home and Abroad

Amnesty International

·         Kenya: Families Torn Apart: Forced Eviction of Indigenous People in Embobut Forest

·         Pakistan: Human Rights Under Surveillance

Army Cyber Institute (ACI)

·         Cyber Defense Review, Spring 2018, v. 3, no. 1

o    Tactical Considerations for a  Commander to Fight and Win  in the Electromagnetic Spectrum

o    Preparing for Cyber Incidents  with Physical Effects

o    An Airman’s View of Deterrence  and Cyberspace

o    There IS No Cyber Defense

o    Countering the Cyber Threat

o    The Role of Commercial End-to-End Secure Mobile Voice in Cyberspace

o    Smart Bases, Smart Decision

o    Strategic Blind-Spots on Cyber Threats, Vectors, and Campaigns

o    The Strategic Support Force and  the Future of Chinese Information Operations

o    Determinants of the Cyber  Escalation Ladder

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Shifts in ROK approaches to the DPRK under President Moon  

Baker Institute for Public Policy

·         Ending the Opioid Crisis: A 7-Step Plan

Barcelona Centre for International Affairs (CIDOB)

·         Why Kirkuk Matters  

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         China Is Treading a Fine Line in Iran

·         Moving the US Embassy to Jerusalem: Righting a Diplomatic Wrong

·         The Privileged Palestinian “Refugees”

·         Riyadh’s Missile Defense Systems: Strategic Opportunities

·         Russia vs. the West: The Beginning of the End

·         Saudi-Moroccan Soccer Spat Symbolizes the New Arab Politics

·         The Travesty of the Lebanese Elections

Bipartisan Policy Center

·         U.S. Policy Toward Iran: Strategic Options

Brookings

·         The Financial Stress of Teaching in Regions of Fast Economic Growth

Bruegel

·         How Big is China’s Digital Economy?

CACI International Inc.

·         What Does It Take to Protect America? Combatting Global Asymmetric Threats

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         The Importance of People in Defence

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Future of Nuclear Power in China

CATO Institute

·         Political Rhetoric as Trade Barrier: Trump’s “Buy American” Campaign and U.S. Demand for Imports

Center for Complex Operations (CCO)

·         Prism, 2018, v. 7, no. 3

o    Nuclear Terrorism: Did We Beat the Odds or Change Them?

o    WMD Terrorism: The Once and Future Threat

o    The CWMD Strategy Gap

o    The State of the Art in Contemporary CWMD Thinking

o    The Forensic Challenge

o    North Korea's CBW Program: How to Contend with Imperfectly Understood Capabilities

o    "The Irreducible Minimum" An Evaluation of Counterterrorism Operations in Iraq

o    Perils of the Gray Zone: Paradigms Lost, Paradoxes Regained

o    An Interview with Congressman James R. Langevin

Center for Global Development

·         Reassessing Expectations for Blockchain and Development

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         Politics of Recognition and Denial. Minorities in the MENA Region

Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS)

·         The Shadow Sector: North Korea’s Information Technology Networks

Center for Security Studies

·         Rethinking Mediation: Resolving Religious Conflicts

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Counterterrorism in an Era of More Limited Resources

·         Developing a Containment Strategy in Syria

·         Improving Stability in the Arab World

·         PacNet #34 - Practical Steps to Save a Deal with North Korea

·         PacNet #33 - Enter Malaysia’s New Political Order

·         PacNet #32 - Comparative Connections Summary

·         Rebooting U.S.-China Trade Ties: “Enter Ye Through the Narrow Gate”

Center on Global Energy Policy

·         Iran Oil and Sanctions

·         Talking Past Each Other: Transatlantic Perspectives on European Gas Security

Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI)

·         Data Governance in the Digital Age

·         Green Shoots for the African Blue Economy?

·         Might Unmakes Right: The American Assault on the Rule of Law in World Trade

Clingendael Netherlands Institute of International Relations

·         Hybrid Conflict: The Roles of Russia, North Korea and China

College of Europe

·         Overcoming ‘Frankenfoods’ and ‘Secret Courts’: The Resilience of EU Trade Policy

Congress. House. Energy & Commerce Committee

·         Disrupter Series: Quantum Computing

·         Telecommunications, Global Competitiveness, and National Security

Congress. House. Foreign Affairs Committee

·         Global Health Supply Chain Management: Lessons Learned and Ways Forward

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Assessing the TSA Checkpoint: The PreCheck Program and Airport Wait Times

Congress. House. Judiciary Committee

·         Accountability for OPEC: H.R. ___, the “No Oil Producing and Exporting Cartels Act”

Congress. House. Oversight & Government Reform Committee

·         A Sustainable Solution to the Evolving Opioid Crisis: Revitalizing the Office of National Drug Control Policy

·         Workforce for the 21st Century: Analyzing the President’s Management Agenda

Congress. House. Science, Space, & Technology Committee

·         America’s Human Presence in Low-Earth Orbit

·         Using Technology to Address Climate Change

Congress. Senate. Commerce, Science, & Transportation Committee

·         Examining the Future of the International Space Station: Administration Perspectives

·         There’s an App for That: Trends in Mobile Technologies

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         American Leadership In The Asia Pacific, Part 5: The Asia Reassurance Initiative Act

·         Authorizing the Use of Military Force: S.J. Res. 59

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Authorities and Resources Needed to Protect and Secure the United States

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         Cambridge Analytica and the Future of Data Privacy

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         A Historical Survey of Ship Reactivations

Council on Foreign Relations

·         Sharing Classified Cyber Threat Information With the Private Sector 

Danish Institute for International Studies (Dansk Institut for Internationale Studier)

·         Perishable state-making: Vegetable trade between self-governance and ethnic entitlement in Jigjiga, Ethiopia

Department of Defense (DOD)

·         Fiscal Year 2017 Annual Industrial Capabilities Report to Congress

·         Prior years

Department of Energy (DOE)

·         Multiyear Plan for Energy Sector Cybersecurity

Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

·         U.S. Department of Homeland Security Cybersecurity Strategy

Department of Justice (DOJ)

·         Park Ridge's Success Story on Going Beyond Critical Incident Team Training: Building Whole-Community Responses to Mental Health

Department of State

·         2017 Antiterrorism Assistance Year in Review

Dialogue

·         Recent Trends in Central American Migration

East West Center

·         India's Role is Key for Including Central Asia in Japan's Free and Open Indo-Pacific Strategy

East Asia Institute

·         In Between the Growth Economy and State Welfare in East Asia

·         State of Democracy in Asia Report

Economic Research Forum (ERF)

·         Housing and Living Conditions In Jordan—2010-2016

·         How are Families Changing in Jordan? New Evidence on Marriage and Fertility Trends among Jordanians and Syrian Refugees

·         Impact of Refugees on Immigrants’ Labor Market Outcomes

·         The Impact of the Syrian Refugee Influx on the Education and Housing Outcomes of Jordanians

·         Jordan’s Fertility Stall and Resumed Decline: An Investigation of Demographic Factors

·         School-to-Work Transition in Jordan, 2010-2016

·         The Wellbeing of Syrian Refugees: Shifting from Humanitarian to Developmental Response in Jordan

Egmont Institute

·         Dangerous Geopolitics of Populism, and What NATO and the EU Can Do About It

European Institute of the Mediterranean

·         IEMed Mediterranean Yearbook 2018

·         Politics of Recognition and Denial. Minorities in the MENA Region

European Leadership Network (ELN)

·         The INF Treaty: The Way Forward

European Parliament

·         Energy as a Tool of Foreign Policy of Authoritarian States, in Particular Russia

·         Institutional Consequences of a ‘Hard Brexit’

European Policy Centre

·         Brexit: What Theresa May's White Paper Must Do

·         Turkey Votes: Snap Elections – Turkey At Yet Another Crossroads

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         Active Shooter Incidents in the United States in 2016 and 2017

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, May 2018

o    Intimate Partner Violence: A Pathway to Suicide

o    Newly Renovated FBI Academy Pool to Benefit Law Enforcement

o    Protected Health Information and Use-of-Force Investigations

o    Development Is a Question Away

Feinstein International Center

·         Constraints and Complexities of Information and Analysis in Humanitarian Emergencies: Evidence from Nigeria

Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

·         Assessment of Member States Compliance with FATF Recommendations and Strategy on Combatting Terrorist Financing

·         Consolidated Assessment Ratings

·         First Follow-up Report to Sri Lanka's Assessment of Anti-money Laundering and Counter-terrorist Financing Measures

Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA)

·         Putin 4.0: ’If It Ain’t Broke, Don’t Fix It’

·         The US-Japan-India-Australia Quadrilateral Security Dialogue: Indo-Pacific Alignment or Foam in the Ocean?

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The 2017 FISA Reporting Season Has Ended: What Do the Numbers Mean?

·         How Russia Survived Sanctions

Foundation for International Development Study and Research (FERDI)

·         The Challenge of Improving Efficiency of Soum Health Centers in Mongolia

·         What’s New In Innovative Financing?

French Institute of International Relations (Institut Français des Relations Internationales)

·         America Is More Than Trump

·         Oil Exploration and Production in Africa Since 2014: Evolution of the Key Players and their Strategies

·         Russia’s Afghan Policy in the Regional and Russia-West Contexts

Future Directions International

·         Dire Straits: Iran’s Search for Allies:

o    Part One

o    Part Two

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         The EU–Tunisia Privileged Partnership — What Next?

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         GAO-18-339SP Homeland Security Acquisitions: Leveraging Programs' Results Could Further DHS's Progress to Improve Portfolio Management

·         GAO-18-563T Aviation Security: TSA Uses Data to Monitor Airport Operations and Respond to Increases in Passenger Wait Times and Throughput [testimony]

·         GAO-18-569T Illicit Opioids: Office of National Drug Control Policy and Other Agencies Need to Better Assess Strategic Efforts [testimony]

Heritage Foundation

·         Key U.S. Goals at the 2018 Conference of States Parties to the ATT

·         U.S. Goals: 2018 U.N. Program of Action on Small Arms Review Conference

High Level Military Group (HLMG)

·         Smoke & Mirrors: Six Weeks Of Violence On The Gaza Border

Hoover Institution

·         China Leadership Monitor, Spring 2018, no. 56

o    Chinese Views on the U.S. National Security and National Defense Strategies

o    And Then There Were Seven: The New, Slimmed-Down Central Military Commission

o    Xi’s System, Xi’s Men: After the March 2018 National People’s Congress

o    Central and Regional Leadership for Xinjiang Policy in Xi’s Second Term

o    Only Socialism Can Save China; Only Xi Jinping Can Save Socialism

·         Strategika, April 2018, no. 50

o    Pakistan's Partnership with the United States

o    The United States And Pakistan: Frenemies On The Brink

o    Pakistan: Murderous Ally, Patient Enemy

o    Pakistan: Neither Ally, Nor Enemy

Hudson Institute

·         The Future of U.S. Naval Power: A Conversation with Congressman Rob Wittman

·         Israel, Iran, and the Future of the Iranian Nuclear Deal: A Conversation with Ron Dermer, Israel’s Ambassador to the United States

Human Rights Watch

·         "Looking for Justice": Special Criminal Court, a New Opportunity for Victims in the Central African Republic

Institute for Defence Studies & Analyses (IDSA)

·         Challenges in Implementing JCPOA after the US Withdrawal

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch,  May 17, 2018

o    Ebola Returns to Africa

o    Tunisia’s Municipal Elections: Applying the Principles of Democracy and Decentralization

·         Applying Capability-Based Planning in Lower-Capacity Defense Institutions–The Republic of Guinea:  A Case Study

·         Market Analysis of a Privately Owned and Operated Space Station

·         Medical Total Force Management: Assessing Readiness and Cost

Institute for National Security Studies

·         Cyber Intelligence: In Pursuit of a Better Understanding for an Emerging Practice

·         Iran in a Changing Strategic Environment

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         Chasing the Centre of Gravity in the Age of Accelerations

Institute of International Affairs (Istituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Europe, Trump and the Iran Nuclear Deal

·         Trade without Trump: The Way Forward, a European Perspective

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         The Emergence of E-commerce in South Asia

·         Walmart’s Buyout of Flipkart: Implications for Indian E-commerce Landscape

Intelligence and National Security Alliance

·         Getting Ahead of Foreign Influence Operations

International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR)

·         Sadr: From A Firebrand Cleric To A Political Brand Of Reform

International Centre on Nonviolent Conflict

·         Nonviolent Resistance and Prevention of Mass Killings During Popular Uprisings

International Crisis Group

·         Long Haul Ahead for Myanmar’s Rohingya Refugee Crisis

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Evolution of the Global Financial Network and Contagion: A New Approach

Issam Fares Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs

·         Syrian Refugee Crisis in Lebanon: Fatigue in Numbers [infographic]

Jamestown Foundation

·         Terrorism Monitor, May 18, 2017, v. 16, no.10

o    Al-Shabaab Faces Leadership Battle as Speculation Over Emir’s Health Mounts

o    Islamic State After Syria: A Dangerous New Stronghold in the Sinai

o    Returning IS Fighters in the Balkans: Beyond the Immediate Security Threat

Johns Hopkins University

·         Operational Evaluation of Unmanned Aircraft Systems for Crash Scene Reconstruction, Operational Evaluation Report, Version 1.0

Martens Centre for European Studies

·         Future of Europe: Differentiation, not Disintegration

Mitchell Institute

·         Light Combat Aircraft: Looking at O/A-X and Beyond

National Academies Press

·         Decrypting the Encryption Debate: A Framework for Decision Makers

National Institute for Defense Studies (NIDS)

·         2018 East Asian Strategic Review 

o    Introduction East Asia in 2017—Growing Tensions with North Korea

o    Chapter 1 The Security of the Sea: Significance of the Freedom of Navigation and Related Challenges

o    Chapter 2 China: Xi Jinping Confronts Problems as He Seeks to Consolidate His Power

o    Chapter 3 The Korean Peninsula: ICBMs and the New South Korean Government's Alliance Politics

o    Chapter 4 Southeast Asia: ASEAN—Pulled Between China and the United States

o    Chapter 5 Russia: Tension with the West, and the Diversification of Foreign Relations

o    Chapter 6 The United States: The Trump Administration's National Security Policy

o    Chapter 7 Japan: The US-Japan Alliance Amid Uncertainty

National Security Archive

·         Oliver North’s Checkered Iran-Contra Record

Observer Research Foundation

·         Xi Dreams: A Roadmap for Pax-Sinica

Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW)

·         Report of the OPCW Fact-Finding Mission in Syria Regarding an Alleged Incident in Saraqib, Syrian Arab Republic on 4 February 2018

Pak Institute for Peace Studies (PIPS)

·         2017 Pakistan Security Report

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Trump Tariffs Primarily Hit Multinational Supply Chains, Harm US Technology Competitiveness

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

·         Majorities See Government Efforts to Protect the Environment as Insufficient

·         In Western Europe, Public Attitudes Toward News Media More Divided by Populist Views Than Left-Right Ideology

Polish Institute of International Affairs

·         China’s Policy towards the U.S.: An Attempt to Defend Economic Interests

·         Modifications to Slovakia’s European Policy

PONARS Eurasia

·         Keeping the “New Cold War” Cold: Nuclear Deterrence With U.S. and Russian Nuclear Force Modernization

·         Nationalist Radicalization Trends in Post-Euromaidan Ukraine

Rand

·         Defining Second Generation Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) for the Defense Enterprise

·         An Evaluation of the Department of Defense's Excess Property Program:Law Enforcement Agency Equipment Acquisition Policies, Findings, and Options

·         Life as a Private: A Study of the Motivations and Experiences of Junior Enlisted Personnel in the U.S. Army

·         Training Success for U.S. Air Force Special Operations and Combat Support Specialties: An Analysis of Recruiting, Screening, and Development Processes

Royal Academy of Engineering

·         Cyber Safety and Resilience: Strengthening the Digital Systems that Support the Modern  Economy

Small Wars Journal

·         A Brief History of the Military Advising Mission

·         Countering the Evolving Islamic State: How Psychology Informs a Realist Strategy

·         First to Fight for the “Right”: The Ethical Dilemma Inherent Within the Multi-Domain Battle Concept

·         Preparing General Purpose Forces for Combat in Megacities: How Conventional Units Can Best Train for Fighting in Dense Urban Terrain

·         Remaining and Expanding: Why Local Violent Extremist Organizations Reflag to ISIS

·         Three Emerging Issues to Keep You Up at Night

Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR)

·         Supplement to SIGAR’S April 2018 Quarterly Report to the United States Congress  

Stimson Center

·         Counterterrorism Spending: Protecting America while Promoting Efficiencies and Accountability

Swiss Re Institute

·         Closing the Gap: A Sovereign Insurance Pool for Africa

·         Closing the Gap: Comprehensive Disaster Risk Management in Mexico

·         Closing the Gap: Drought Threat to Uruguay‘s Reliance on Hydropower

·         Closing the Protection Gap - Disaster Risk Financing: Smart Solutions for the Public Sector

·         Closing the Gap: Pooling Risk in Central America and the Caribbean

·         Closing the Gap: Flood Protection for Bangladesh

·         Closing the Gap: Protecting China's Cotton Crop against Low Temperatures

·         Closing the Gap: Safeguarding Livestock in Kenya

·         Solar Panel Code of Practice: International Guideline on the Risk Management and Sustainability of Solar Panel Warranty Insurance

Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse  

·         ICE Deportations Only Half Levels of Five Years Ago

US-China Economic and Security Review Commission

·         China’s Digital Game Sector

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         The Hodeida Campaign (Part 1): Humanitarian and Political Role of Red Sea Ports

·         The Hodeida Campaign (Part 2): Can Yemen Recapture Major Ports from the Houthi Rebels?

·         The Hodeida Campaign (Part 3): Deterring Houthi Retaliation

·         Iraqi Elections and U.S. Interests: Taking the Long View

·         The JCPOA Decision: Managing Reactions, Evaluating Sanctions

·         The Muslim Brotherhood and Saudi Arabia: From Then to Now

·         U.S. Adherence to The Nuclear Gold Standard Would Push Saudi Arabia Toward Other Countries

Wilson Center

·         Digitized Archive on 28th President is Unveiled at Wilson Center

·         Kennan Cable No. 33: A Russian Pivot to Asia? Russian Trade with Asia from 2006 to 2016

·         Roadmap to 50x50: Power and Parity in Women's Leadership

·         U.S. National Security Strategy: Implications for the U.S.-Japan Alliance

·         Will Saudi Arabia’s Social Revolution Provoke a Wahhabi Backlash?