Friday's Miscellany 05-12-2017

38 North

·         Assessing China’s Leadership in the North Korean Crisis

·         Going Under Cover: Enhanced Concealment Effort Noted at the Punggye-ri Nuclear Test Site

Al Jazeera Center for Studies

·         “One Belt One Road”: A Vision for the Future of China-Middle East Relations

·         Somalia: Another Paradigm Shift?

American International Group, Inc. (AIG)

·         Is Cyber Risk Systemic?

Anti-Defamation League (ADL)

·         Murder and Extremism in the United States in 2016

Armed Forces Health Surveillance Center (AFHSC)

·         Medical Surveillance Monthly Report, April 2017, v.4, no. 4

o    Absolute and relative morbidity burdens attributable to various illnesses and injuries, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2016

o    Hospitalizations, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2016

o    Ambulatory visits, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2016

o    Surveillance snapshot: Illness and injury burdens, reserve component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2016

o    Surveillance snapshot: Illness and injury burdens, recruit trainees, active component, U.S. Armed Forces, 2016

o    Absolute and relative morbidity burdens attributable to various illnesses and injuries, non-service member beneficiaries of the Military Health System, 2016

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI)

·         Border Security Lessons for Australia from Europe’s Schengen Experience

·         Fractured Europe: The Schengen Area and European Border Security

Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies

·         For Hamas, Nothing Has Changed

·         Hamas: Another Failed Palestinian Organization

·         The Meeting Between President Trump and President Xi Jinping

·         The New Hamas Policy Document: Same Old Same Old (Mostly)

·         Turkey: Directionless and Friendless

Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

·         India’s Nuclear Exceptionalism

Beyond the Parallel

·         Peaking Possibilities of May North Korea WMD Activity

Bipartisan Policy Center

·         Congress and Evidence-Based Policymaking: Creating a 21st Century Legislature

British American Security Information Council (BASIC)

·         Meaningful Multilateralism: 30 Nuclear Disarmament Proposals forthe Next UK Government

Brookings

·         American Attitudes on President Trump’s Early Policies

·         Considering the Budget Resolution in the Senate: Challenges and Consequences of Reform

·         The Korean Nuclear Issue: Past, Present, and Future: A Chinese Perspective

Bruegel

·         Central Asia at 25

Canadian Global Affairs Institute (CGAI)

·         The Nexus of Diplomacy, Sport, Politics and the Media: Parallels, Paradoxes and Pitfalls

Canadian Security Intelligence Service (CSIS)

·         What Comes After Daesh?

Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

·         Official Political Islam in the Arab World: The Contest for Religious Authority

Center for a New American Security (CNAS)

·         Generations of War: The Rise of the Warrior Caste and the All-Volunteer Force

·         The Return of Marco Polo’s World and the U.S. Military Response

Center for Global Development

·         Identification as a National Priority: The Unique Case of Peru

Center for International Policy

·         U.S. Foreign Military Training Reached Record Highs in 2015

Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM)

·         Syrian Refugees in Lebanon: Economic, Political and Sectarian Challenges in the Absence of a Governmental Strategy

Center for Naval Analyses (CNA)

·         Russia’s Approach to Cyber Warfare

·         Shining a Light on the Western Balkans: Internal Vulnerabilities and Malign Influence from Russia, Terrorism, and Transnational Organized Crime

Center for Security Studies (CSS)

·         Russian Analytical Digest, No. 202: Oil Company Benefit Sharing in the Russian North

Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)

·         Countering Coercion in Maritime Asia

·         Issues & Insights, v.. 17 - no.. 7 - ARF to the Forefront: Promoting Cybersecurity CBMs in the Asia-Pacific

·         PacNet #36 - Recalibrating US-India Ties Towards a Coherent Indo-Pacific Strategy

·         The War in Yemen: Hard Choices in a Hard War

Centre for European Reform (CER)

·         How will Germany Respond to Emmanuel Macron?

·         A Prime Minister Unshackled

·         Unfreezing TTIP: Why a Transatlantic Trade Pact Still Makes Strategic Sense

Chatham House

·         Advancing Human Security Through Artificial Intelligence

·         Brexit: Implications for EU–China Relations

·         Staying Connected: Key Elements for UK–EU27 Energy Cooperation After Brexit

Congress. House. Homeland Security Committee

·         Terror Threat Snapshot [May 2017]

Congress. Senate. Armed Services Committee

·         Cyber Policy, Strategy, and Organization

·         United States Cyber Command

Congress. Senate Chris Murphy

·         Rethinking the Battlefield. The World Has Changed. It's Time for the U.S. Foreign Affairs Budget to Keep Up

Congress. Senate. Foreign Relations Committee

·         Emerging External Influences in the Western Hemisphere

Congress. Senate. Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs Committee

·         Cyber Threats Facing America: An Overview of the Cybersecurity Threat Landscape

Congress. Senate. Judiciary Committee

·         Russian Interference in the 2016 United States Election

Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

·         The 2017 Budget and Economic Outlook [presentation]

East-West Center

·         Policy Response to Low Fertility in China: Too Little, Too Late?

Egmont Institute Royal Institute for International Relations

·         New Pact for Europe – National Report of Belgium. Belgium and the EU: Matching Rhetoric and Commitment

·         Strategic Autonomy and EU-NATO Cooperation: Squaring the Circle

Energy Information Administration (EIA)

·         Kazakhstan Country Analysis Brief - May 2017

EU Non-Proliferation Consortium

·         The European Union and Weapons of Mass Destruction: A Follow-On to the Global Strategy?

European Policy Centre

·         Europe's Reform Opportunity

·         New Pact for Europe: National Report Belgium

·         The Rise of Post-National Democracy: Macron, Brexit and the Electoral Reform of the European Parliament

Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)

·         FBI Law Enforcement Bulletin, May 2017

o    School Resource Officers and Violence Prevention: Best Practices (Part Two)

o    Writing Clear, Effective Police Reports: No English Degree Required 

o    National Law Enforcement Officers Memorial

o    President John Quincy Adams and Bounded Ethicality

FireEye

·         At the Center of the Storm: Russia’s APT28 Strategically Evolvesits Cyber Operations

Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)

·         The Future of Mexico, Part II: As Mexico City Turns

·         A Match is Nothing Without a Fuse; A Fuse is Nothing Without a Bomb: Starting Two Wars, 1898-1899

·         President Macron’s France: Between Internal Turmoil and External Crossroads

·         Tolerating the “Intolerable Partner:” Once Shunned, Bulgaria’s United Patriots Joins the Governing Coalition

German Council on Foreign Relations (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e. V.)

·         Russia’s Evolving South Caucasus Policy [interview with Pavel Baev]

German Marshall Fund of the United States

·         Getting Beyond Minsk: Toward a Resolution of the Conflict in Ukraine

·         Trump Administration Must Cooperate with Europe, Germany Needs to Creatively Boost Defense

Global ECCO

·         Combating Terrorism Exchange (CTX), Spring 2017, v. 7, no. 1

o    ISIS Prisons: Where Labor Demand Meets Labor Supply

o    Maritime Terrorism in the Mediterranean Sea

o    Drones and the Future of Security Policy: A Maritime Case Study for Assessing the Risk of Small Unmanned Aircraft Systems

o    Fundamentalism: The Branch Davidians and the Islamic State

o    Adapting CT Strategies to Combat Organized Crime Gangs

o    The CTAP Interview - Vera Mironova

o    The CTAP Interview - Bruce Hoffman

o    Honor and Truth

Government Accountability Office (GAO)

·         Avian Influenza: USDA Has Taken Actions to Reduce Risks but Needs a Plan to Evaluate Its Efforts. GAO-17-360 

Heritage Foundation

·         2017 Index of Economic Freedom

·         Four New Reasons Why the U.S. Must Stay Engaged in the South Caucasus

·         Next Steps for U.S. Cybersecurity in the Trump Administration:Active Cyber Defense

·         Why Strengthening U.S. Immigration Policy Toward Cuban Migrants Is in America’s Interests

Households in Conflict Network

·         Migration, Forced Displacement and Fertility during Civil War: A Survival Analysis

Human Rights Watch

·         Systemic Indifference: Dangerous & Substandard Medical Care in Immigration Detention

Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (IDSA)

·         Changed Security Situation in Jammu and Kashmir the Road Ahead

·         India-Turkey Relations: Frozen in Time?

Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA)

·         Africa Watch, May 11, 2017

o    In Burkina Faso, an Extremist Fulani Struggle Sprouts

o    Tunisia’s Tourist Industry: Bouncing Back?

·         Department of Defense Access to Intellectual Property for Weapon Systems Sustainment

·         Policy Challenges for Civil Situation Awareness and Traffic Management in Space

·         Providing Civil Space Situational Awareness

Institute for Policy Analysis of Conflict (IPAC)

·         How Southeast Asian and Bangladeshi Extremism Intersect

Institute for Security & Development Policy

·         Obligations & Roles of the U.S. and Neighboring Countries for the Reunification of Korea

·         Self-defense Capability of the DPRK and Peace on the Korean Peninsula

Institute for Strategic, Political, Security and Economic Consultancy (ISPSW)

·         NATO, Turkey, and the "East-Asianization" of Europe?

Institute for the Study of War

·         The Campaign for Mosul: April 29-May 11, 2017

·         ISIS Sanctuary: May 10, 2017

·         The U.S.-Turkey Divide Beyond Raqqa

Institute of International Affairs  (Instituto Affari Internazionali)

·         Lessons to be Learned from Other Experiences of Socio-economic Transformation for Youth in the SEM Region

·         Multi-level Factors of Youth Exclusion and Inclusion in Brazil

·         Multi-level Factors of Youth Exclusion and Inclusion in Greece

·         Multi-level Factors of Youth Exclusion and Inclusion in Ireland

Institute of South Asian Studies (ISAS)

·         The Belt and Road Initiative: Charming and Alarming Aspects

·         Implications of the Xi Jinping-Donald Trump Meeting for South Asia

·         New Security and Public Order Measures in Xinjiang: Concerns of Instability in CPEC’s Key Region in China

·         The ‘South Asia Satellite’: India’s Space Programme as a Regional Policy Tool

Intelligence and National Security Alliance

·         Improving the Acquisition of Services in the Intelligence Community

International Crisis Group

·         Blocked Transition: Corruption and Regionalism in Tunisia

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

·         Debt Sustainability in Low-Income Countries : Policies,Institutions, or Shocks?

·         Gender Budgeting in G7 Countries

·         International Financial Integration in the Aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis

Italian Institute for International Political Studies (Istituto per gli studi di politica internazionale)

·         China’s Belt and Road: a Game Changer?

Jamestown Foundation

·         China Brief, May 11, 2017, v. 17, no. 7  

o    China’s Global Power Projection Hit With “Strategic Overdraft”

o    What is Known and Unknown about Changes to the PLA’s Ground Combat Units

o    The CMC General Office: Recentralizing Power in the PLA

o    Thinking the Unthinkable: Are American Organizations in China Ready for a Serious Crisis?

Kennedy Center for International Studies

·         Journal of International Organization Studies, Spring 2017, v. 8, no. 1

o    Regional Integration vs. Globalization: A Social network analysis of the trade within and outside the Southern African Development Community (SADC)

o    Donor Choice in Multilateral Health Aid

Konrad Adenauer Foundation (Konrad Adenauer Stiftung)

·         Cross-Border Cooperation: Now More Than Ever!

Marine Corps University Middle East Studies

·         The Jihadist Maritime Strategy: Waging a Guerrilla War at Sea

Migration Policy Institute (MPI)

·         Advances in U.S.-Mexico Border Enforcement: A Review of the Consequence Delivery System

·         A Revolving Door No More?  A Statistical Profile of Mexican Adults Repatriated from the United States

National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism (START)

·         Debates Among Salafi Muslims About Use of Violence

Pak Institute for Peace Studies

·         Cultural Diversity and Pluralism

·         Education Reforms

·         Media Engagement Programs

Pakistan Institute of Legislative Development and Transparency

·         Monitor on Civil-Military Relations in Pakistan for March 2017

Peacekeeping & Stability Operations Institute  (PKSOI)

·         SOLLIMS Sampler,  Special Edition, May 2017

o    Leadership in Crisis and Complex Operations

o    Leadership Failure by UN Peacekeeping Leaders  - Malakai Violence, South Sudan

o    Lessons from Liberia in Security Sector Reform

o    Leader Attributes for Peacekeeping & Stability Operations

o    "Whole of International Community" for Foreign Disaster Relief

o    Leadership Challenges with Multi-Continental Troops - UNIFIL Case

o    Establishing Civ-Mil Unified Action in a Deployed Environment

Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE)

·         Corporate Tax Cuts: Examining the Record in Other Countries

·         G-7 Economic Cooperation in the Trump Era

·         The Payoff to America from Globalization: A Fresh Look with a Focus on Costs to Workers

Pew Research Center Internet & Technology

·         Americans Divided on Whether Recent Science Protests Will Benefit Scientists’ Causes

Pew Research Center Journalism & Media

·         Americans’ Attitudes About the News Media Deeply Divided Along Partisan Lines

Political Economy Research Institute (PERI)

·         An Empirical Analysis of Minsky Regimes in the U.S. Economy

Project 2049 Institute

·         The People's Republic of China and Burma: Not Only Pauk-Phaw

RAND

·         Assessing the Value of Regionally Aligned Forces in Army Security Cooperation: An Overview

·         Beating the Islamic State: Selecting a New Strategy for Iraq and Syria

·         Database of Literature on Oil Spills and Public Health

·         Fit for Duty?  Evaluating the Physical Fitness Requirements of Battlefield Airmen

·         Iranian Domestic Challenges to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

·         Lessons from Russia’s Operations in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine

·         Projecting the Structure of the Air Force Civilian Workforce in Light of Concerns about a Possible Retirement Wave

·         Regulation of Logistics Infrastructure in Brazil

·         Understanding Russian “Hybrid Warfare” And What Can Be Done About It: Addendum

Royal United Services Institute (RUSI)

·         The EU in the Asia-Pacific: Crisis Management Roles?

·         A European Net Assessment of the People’s Liberation Army (Navy)

·         Still International by Design? Towards a Post-Brexit SDSR

S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies

·         The Trump Era and the Trade Architecture in the Asia Pacific

Second Line of Defense

·         Designing the Integrated Force

Small Wars Journal

·         Complex Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield in Ukrainian Antiterrorism Operations

·         Does K-2SO Deserve a Medal?

·         The Great Enabler: Capitalizing Upon Operations in the Information Environment

·         HUMINT: A Continuing Crisis?

·         Leading Millennials in the Military

·         Mexican Cartel Tactical Note #33: Terrorist TTP Firebreak Crossed- Criminal Group Utilizes Women and Children as Human Shields in Palmarito, Puebla

·         Presidential Elections in Iran and American Foreign Policy

·         Rockets, Radio and RNA: The Role of Hobbyists in Driving Innovation

·         Taking Stock: What the US is Learning from Europe’s Spate of Urban Truck Attacks

·         There is No “Stalemate” in Afghanistan: We’re Losing

·         Utilizing Society’s Forgotten Half: The Essential Role of Women in Counter Terrorism

Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

·         The European Union and Weapons of Mass Destruction: A Follow-on to the Global Strategy?

·         The Status of Chinese–Russian Energy Cooperation

Transatlantic Academy

·         Getting Beyond Minsk: Toward a Resolution of the Conflict in Ukraine

·         Trump Administration Must Cooperate with Europe, Germany Needs to Creatively Boost Defense

Transnational Institute

·         Commons Transition and P2P

·         Land for the few Infographics

U.S. Advisory Commission on Public Diplomacy

·         Can Public Diplomacy Survive the Internet? Bots, Echo Chambers,and Disinformation

US-China Economic and Security Review Commission

·         May Trade Bulletin

·         US Financial Exposure to China

United States Institute of Peace (USIP)

·         Creating an Inclusive Burmese Peace Process

·         Impact Where America Needs It

·         Preventing Election Violence

Washington Institute for Near East Policy

·         From Qamishli to Qamishlo: A Trip to Rojava’s New Capital

·         Reaching a U.S.-Turkish Deal in Syria: Four Steps

Wilson Center

·         Understanding the North Korean Regime

World  Organization for Resource  Development and Education  [WORDE]

·         The Building Resilience Against Violent Extremism (BRAVE) Model

·         Developing a Community-Led Approach to Countering Violent Extremism (CVE): An Instructor’s Manual

·         Evaluation of a Multi-Faceted U.S. Community – Based, Muslim-LedCVE Program